Analysts Back Shs72.1 Trillion Budget but Warn on Delivery and Accountability

Economic experts welcome government's growth-focused spending plan but caution that implementation, accountability and value-for-money spending will determine whether the Shs72.1 trillion budget delivers meaningful results.

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Economic and governance analysts have welcomed Uganda’s Shs72.1 trillion budget for the 2026/27 financial year, describing it as a major opportunity to accelerate economic transformation, create jobs and expand wealth creation opportunities. However, they have cautioned that the success of the budget will ultimately depend on effective implementation, accountability and value-for-money spending.

The budget, one of the largest in Uganda’s history, is anchored on government’s strategy to achieve ten-fold economic growth through investments in Agriculture, Tourism, Minerals, and Science, Technology and Innovation (ATMS).

Speaking during a televised budget analysis discussion, official from the ministry of finance Godfrey Byamukama said the budget reflects government’s commitment to investing in sectors that can stimulate productivity and drive long-term economic growth.

“What this budget means is that Uganda is ready for transformation. We are ready to promote productivity-driven investments in this country,” Byamukama said.

He noted that the government’s ten-fold growth strategy provides a clear roadmap for wealth creation and employment generation, particularly for young people and entrepreneurs.

“Under the 10-fold growth strategy programme, we are emphasizing four things—ATMS—and that is what Ugandans should focus on now and look at opportunities in terms of job creation and wealth creation,” he added.

Byamukama argued that if resources are effectively invested in productive sectors, the country could significantly increase exports, industrial output and household incomes over the coming years.

While analysts welcomed the ambitious spending plan, concerns were raised about government’s ability to translate allocations into tangible results.

Governance and public policy analyst Arthur Bainomugisha said Uganda’s challenge has often not been the size of the budget but the effectiveness of implementation.

“Delivering on the budget remains another key issue. So far, our national budget for FY 2026/27 is one of the largest we have ever had,” Bainomugisha observed.

He noted that previous budgets had sometimes fallen short of expectations due to implementation gaps, delayed projects and inefficiencies in public expenditure.

According to Bainomugisha, citizens will judge the success of the budget not by the amount allocated but by improvements in service delivery, infrastructure development, job creation and household welfare.

Economist and policy analyst Aloysious Kittengo echoed similar concerns, saying attention should focus on whether public spending generates measurable economic returns.

“The 2026/27 National Budget is big, but we are also growing. The aspect we would be looking at more is where the money is being allocated and whether it will deliver value,” Kittengo said.

He emphasized the importance of strengthening value addition across key sectors if Uganda is to improve competitiveness and maximize returns from its investments.

“When looking at value addition, where you start in the value chain is key if we are to realise stronger economic gains and competitiveness,” he noted.

Kittengo further highlighted persistent challenges related to product standards, quality assurance and market access, warning that these constraints could undermine the country’s ability to fully benefit from increased production.

“When it comes to market standards, we still face challenges despite the allocation of resources to meet quality requirements, compliance and competitiveness in both local and external markets,” he said.

The 2026/27 budget prioritizes strategic sectors including agro-industrialisation, tourism development, mineral-based industrialisation, science, technology and innovation, infrastructure development and wealth creation programmes.

Analysts say these investments have the potential to increase productivity, boost exports, attract private sector investment and create employment opportunities across the country.

However, they maintain that achieving those objectives will require stronger monitoring systems, timely project implementation and prudent management of public resources.

As government embarks on implementing the new budget, attention is increasingly shifting from the size of allocations to the results they will deliver.

For many Ugandans, the true measure of success will be reflected in improved incomes, better services, more jobs and visible progress in the country’s economic transformation agenda.

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